Of course, the simple answer is we don't know. But, isn't that the answer to pretty much everything about what this minuscule organism is doing to humanity right now and our response to it?
An ingenious encapsulated sphere holding single-stranded RNA with the ability to home in on lung tissue and use it to multiply. You have to admire its resourcefulness and that of hosts able to effectively limit the damage it causes. That damage comes from the virus killing cells, inducing an inflammatory response and providing bacterial pathogens an opportunity to infect potentially leading to organ system failure and death.
Interestingly, a paper from the epicentre of COVID-19 recently reported that some patients initially reported with gastrointestinal issues and viral nucleic acids were recovered from stool and anal swabs . The authors argue that the virus binds to angiotensin-converting enzyme 2 (ACE2) which is found in the lungs and small intestinal epithelial cells. The idea of gut-lung crosstalk is not new . Indeed, pathways believed to affect respiratory health include quorum-sensing molecules, production of antimicrobial agents, immune response modulation, and nutrient exchange .
That being the case, is there any evidence that bacteria in the gut can modulate respiratory outcomes for the better? Well, it turns out there are data showing that certain probiotic strains can reduce allergic reactions, help recovery from athletic exertion, abolish the release of pro-inflammatory mediators by macrophage in smokers, and even reduce lung cancer tumours in mice given cisplatin . More pertinent to the current pandemic, several studies including one modeling the impact for Americans , show that probiotics could significantly curtail flu-like respiratory tract infections.
At the very least, such use is not harmful. Some might say it is useless because it is based upon meta-data and not a carefully designed study with impacting COVID-19 being the primary intent. But, in facing the COVID-19 crisis, China's National Health Commission and National Administration of Traditional Chinese Medicine recommended probiotics in the treatment of patients with severe COVID-19 infection, if only to prevent secondary bacterial infection . Collectively, we seem happy to learn from the Chinese experience with this virus in terms of control and treatment, so surely we can also consider this recommendation?
If indeed severely ill patients have components of their illness mediated through the gut microbiota, perhaps the addition of probiotic lactobacilli and bifidobacteria might end up saving some lives. The mechanisms may not be known. The numbers needed to treat likewise. But with little downside why not consider it, even if the placebo effect eventually proved more potent? That latter comment might be interpreted as me saying probiotics only convey placebo effects. Of course that is not true. But for skeptics, if a placebo effect did indeed occur, it could still have a significant impact on a disease that is changing everything about the world we live in and one for which we are prepared to try anti-HIV and other therapies.
In anticipation of the questions, I can’t say with any degree of certainty which probiotic to use. The Chinese paper did not disclose any, and as I have emphasized no two strains are identical. So, the only answer I can give is for the strains to be documented genetically and in humans, and shown to have benefits for immunity and against respiratory pathogens.
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